Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.372296 0.438825 0.512020 0.598283 0.696908 0.805885 0.935143
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.266258 0.352922 0.457967 0.593587 0.762844 0.965826 1.226243
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.204015 0.299493 0.425232 0.600417 0.835232 1.135801 1.545754
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.159926 0.257321 0.395360 0.600807 0.893383 1.288776 1.855774
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.122679 0.215363 0.356090 0.578644 0.913403 1.388140 2.099452
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.104697 0.198152 0.348628 0.599019 0.993026 1.574121 2.476027
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.089574 0.182047 0.339356 0.613691 1.063460 1.750578 2.851015
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.081310 0.175974 0.344932 0.651738 1.172621 1.992340 3.339965
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.068427 0.158507 0.327760 0.648510 1.213291 2.129773 3.677470
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.057122 0.141609 0.308611 0.638539 1.240246 2.245623 3.987108
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.048258 0.127777 0.292804 0.631950 1.271175 2.368654 4.314714
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.042539 0.119608 0.286745 0.642538 1.332935 2.546825 4.743619
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.037019 0.110876 0.278547 0.648649 1.388423 2.720817 5.181940
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.031989 0.102176 0.269038 0.650891 1.436810 2.886056 5.616865
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.028223 0.095841 0.263734 0.661093 1.501309 3.084490 6.122280
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.024476 0.088574 0.254998 0.662581 1.548188 3.253324 6.584692
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.020020 0.077944 0.236166 0.638836 1.540662 3.318922 6.862658
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.018339 0.075425 0.237339 0.661189 1.631586 3.578311 7.513393
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.016578 0.072153 0.235969 0.677232 1.710139 3.818296 8.140559
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.015932 0.072557 0.244636 0.718690 1.847728 4.183162 9.024243
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.013811 0.067024 0.235748 0.715185 1.884431 4.347573 9.529972
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.011773 0.061102 0.224602 0.704331 1.903102 4.475878 9.971395
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.010127 0.056145 0.215370 0.697157 1.929289 4.620662 10.451982